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The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.Broadcom's profit was higher than expected. Artificial intelligence promoted sales growth. Broadcom, a chip supplier of Apple and other large technology companies, announced that its fourth-quarter profit was better than expected, and the demand for artificial intelligence boosted growth. The company said in a statement on Thursday that earnings per share excluding some items were $1.42. Revenue rose to nearly $14.1 billion. According to data compiled by Bloomberg, the average forecast of analysts was $1.39 per share and $14.1 billion in revenue. Broadcom expects sales to reach $14.6 billion in the first fiscal quarter ending January, in line with analysts' expectations. Broadcom's financial report shows that the demand for artificial intelligence computing is hedging the slowdown in other fields. Broadcom, like NVIDIA, has positioned itself as the main beneficiary of artificial intelligence expenditure. After the announcement of the financial report, Broadcom's share price once rose more than 6% after hours. As of Thursday's close, the stock has increased by 62% since 2024.Boeing: I'm afraid the new version of Air Force One will not be in place until 2029 at the earliest.

Industry: The worry about the imbalance between supply and demand still exists, and there is limited room for alumina futures to continue to fall. Since the intraday record of 5,540 yuan/ton on December 5, the main contract price of domestic alumina futures has started to fluctuate and fall, reaching a minimum of 5,077 yuan/ton on December 12, with the cumulative maximum decline exceeding 8%. According to industry insiders, the increase of alumina registered delivery brands and the sharp drop in overseas alumina spot quotations have led to the recent decline in alumina futures prices. Although the short-term news in the market is intertwined, the imbalance between supply and demand in the alumina market has not fundamentally improved, so there is limited room for the subsequent decline of alumina futures prices. (CSI)Bezos' Amazon plans to donate $1 million to Trump's inauguration ceremony.The FTSE A50 futures index closed down 0.89% at 13,546.000 points in a row.

At the end of new york on Thursday (December 12th), the main contract of CME Bitcoin futures BTC was reported at $100,000, down 1.90% from the end of new york on Wednesday. The main contract of CME ethereum futures DCR was reported at $3,888.50, up 0.52% from Wednesday.From January to October, the number of net immigrants in New Zealand decreased to 38,776.A number of data show that: the distribution of rights and interests of public offerings, near the end of the year, Public Offering of Fund is increasing the distribution of rights and interests. The data shows that the new funds established in the past three months (from September 12 to December 12) have raised a total of 289.803 billion yuan, and the stock funds have raised more than half. Among the above-mentioned sub-IPO funds, 145 funds have earned more than 1% since their establishment, accounting for more than half, and most of them are opening positions quickly. As of December 11th, the revenue of 27 products exceeded 5% (the different shares were calculated separately), and the revenue of the best-performing products reached 51%. More new funds are "queuing for admission". According to the data, before the end of the year, more than 20 funds will be launched for sale, and 80% of them are equity funds. Huaxia, Fuguo, Boss and Jing Shun Great Wall all have products waiting to be issued. At the same time, the fund's self-purchase efforts have been increasing. As of December 12, this year, the net subscription amount of equity funds purchased by fund companies has reached 2.894 billion yuan, an increase of 28% over last year. (SSE)